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Macro Deep Dive
Emerging vs Developed Markets
Different game, different rules
~20 min · 5 lessons
What you'll learn
- ✓Contrast EM and DM risks
Lessons
- 🌏Same Label, Different GameWhat a decade of EM and DM returns actually looked likeStart →
- What Makes a Market EMFinish the previous lesson to unlock
- What Drives EM MarketsFinish the previous lesson to unlock
- Real Crises and Original SinFinish the previous lesson to unlock
- Boss: Frontier, Cases, and the Mixed VerdictFinish the previous lesson to unlock
Sources
All content is drawn from the sources below. We deliberately avoid unverified material.
- MSCI Market Classification FrameworkMSCI · institutionalPrimary reference for the EM versus DM classification dimensions (size, liquidity, market accessibility, FX) and for the South Korea EM classification used in lessons 1, 2, and 5.https://www.msci.com/our-solutions/indexes/market-classification
- FTSE Russell Country Classification Annual ReviewFTSE Russell · institutionalUsed to confirm that FTSE classifies South Korea as developed (since 2009), the contrast point in lesson 2.https://www.lseg.com/en/ftse-russell/equity-country-classification
- MSCI EM and MSCI World index historical performance factsheetsMSCI · dataUnderlying source for the 2008 to 2018 annualized return and volatility comparison used in lesson 1.https://www.msci.com/end-of-day-data-search
- The Pain of Original Sin (Eichengreen, Hausmann), NBER WP 10036National Bureau of Economic Research · academicCoined the 'original sin' concept used in lesson 4 and the boss.https://www.nber.org/papers/w10036
- Emerging markets finance (Bekaert, Harvey, 2003)Journal of Empirical Finance · academicStructural reference on EM return, volatility, and integration features. Backs the 'higher EM volatility' claim in lessons 1 and 5.https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S0927539802000546
- Global Financial Stability Report, October 2013International Monetary Fund · institutionalDocuments the May to September 2013 'taper tantrum' EM sell-off used in lesson 3.https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/GFSR/Issues/2016/12/31/Transition-Challenges-to-Stability
- Capital Flows Tracker, end-2022 updateInstitute of International Finance · dataSource for the roughly 70 billion USD EM portfolio outflows figure cited in lesson 4.https://www.iif.com/Research/Capital-Flows-Tracker
- World Economic Outlook, October 2018, EM chapterInternational Monetary Fund · institutionalReference for the 2018 Turkey lira and Argentina peso crises used in lesson 4.https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2018/09/24/world-economic-outlook-october-2018
- This Time Is Different: Eight Centuries of Financial FollyPrinceton University Press · bookReinhart and Rogoff (2009). Used as the broader pattern reference for EM 'sudden stops', cited around the 1997 Asian crisis in lesson 4.
- MSCI Frontier Markets Index methodologyMSCI · institutionalReference for the frontier-market definition (Vietnam, Bangladesh) used in the boss lesson.https://www.msci.com/index/methodology/latest/MFM